2 Jul

After Iran: What Now?

0 Politics Israel

JL;DR SUMMARY The episode discusses the aftermath of a successful yet speculative Israel-Iran conflict, examining the strategic and political consequences for Israel and the broader Middle East. A way out west there was a fella, fella I want to tell you about, fella by the name of Jeff Lebowski.

At least, that was the handle his lovin' parents gave him, but he never had much use for it himself.
This Lebowski, he called himself the Dude.
Now, Dude, that's a name no one would self-apply where I come from.
But then, there was a lot about the Dude that didn't make a whole lot of sense to me.
And a lot about where he lived, likewise. But then again, maybe that's why I found the place s'durned innarestin'.

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Israel

"Content: Israel Policy Forum Iran Front Post-War Michael and Shira In some personal terms, but I'm curious to get a sense how the war was on your respective ends."

Tel Aviv, Tel Aviv District, Israel

"But we've had a lot of practice, you know, in the last five, six years. So it's fine. And fortunately, on the personal level, totally fine. Very lucky. Right. And by the way, Shira, I have proof that you knew Thursday morning as well, because you texted me as I was on a plane at Ben Gurion, not telling me what was going to happen, but you're like, are you sure you're still going? And I was like, yeah, of course. We have a few more days."

Iran

"It was still... It was still something that even though I was sort of ready for it for a few hours, you can't think about it, right? How long is... We've been hearing about the threat of Israel sort of striking Iran for many, many years now."

United States

"Shira? Oh, okay, I'll start. Well, I... On Thursday morning, before it happened, right, the Israeli strike took place on the night between Thursday and Friday. I had a sense that this was coming that evening. And I have evidence because I sent my husband to the supermarket to go shopping and he said, why? And I was like, I have a feeling it's happening tonight. And he's like, what are you talking about? No way. It won't happen before Sunday, the wedding. I was supposed to get married. I was like, no, no, no, no, no. I'm telling you, it's based on conversations with people who actually know it's going to happen. And I was rushing to find a flight out of here that Thursday. But there were like kids stuff. And my brother was visiting from the States."

Tehran, Iran

"But what made this an operational success and for the Israeli air force to go and roam Tehran skies as if it's Gaza, really, was the fact that, that the, those assassinations quickly of the, the top brass of, you know, sort of, we're talking about the military and the IRGC and a Haji's Haji's the day, which is the head of the air force and all of their commands, because we know now to say that the Iranians did aim hundreds of ballistic missiles at Israel, but there was no one to press the button and the outcomes could have looked much worse."

Beit Shemesh, Central District, Israel

"And so, you know, they were all in for the bar mitzvah. And so, you know, they were all in for the bar mitzvah. And so, you know, they were all in for the bar mitzvah. And so, you know, they were all in for the bar mitzvah. They were here and had no way of getting back. Unfortunately, my sister-in-law was not in the United States for the bar mitzvah, but she was in the United States for her father's 80th birthday and came to surprise him. So they were here and their two 18-year-old twins, 16-year-old and 9-year-old, were in Israel as this was going on with their parents in the United States with no prospect of getting back. Thankfully, they live. They live in Beit Shemesh, which is, you know, relatively quiet. Nothing got hit. They didn't even really have that many Azakot, that many sirens."

Qatar

"And on the Iranian side, it came right after the choreographed and very. How did they say? Here in Israel, the response of Iran against the U.S. military base in Qatar."

Saudi Arabia

"Like it's September 2025. But it would be things like allowing the PA to have a role back in Gaza in order to get Arab state buy-in to a post-war order. It would necessitate saying, well, like Naftali Bennett and others have said, okay, need to destroy every last Hamas guy with a green bandana and an AK-47 to reach total victory. And that the hostages getting them back is the first order of priority."

Damascus, Syria

"Content: Israel Policy Forum Iran Front Post-War Michael and Shira In some personal terms, but I'm curious to get a sense how the war was on your respective ends. Shira? Oh, okay, I'll start. Well, I... On Thursday morning, before it happened, right, the Israeli strike took place on the night between Thursday and Friday. I had a sense that this was coming that evening. And I have evidence because I sent my husband to the supermarket to go shopping and he said, why? And I was like, I have a feeling it's happening tonight. And he's like, what are you talking about? No way. It won't happen before Sunday, the wedding. I was supposed to get married. I was like, no, no, no, no, no. I'm telling you, it's based on conversations with people who actually know it's going to happen. And I was rushing to find a flight out of here that Thursday. But there were like kids stuff. And my brother was visiting from the States. "

Egypt

"My sense is again, and I said this the other day, is if you view whipping out Hamas or trying to put rakes together under the under the surface, you captured large amounts of areas in the west bank in Gaza and that border, you sent a message. But you do not send a message without contacts as if it's a bombed city. This hasn't been the case. This has not had any real impact."

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Cairo Item ID	56041
Cairo Source ID	22
Retrieved	2025-07-03 05:30:45 UTC
Curated	2025-07-03 06:08:12 UTC

After Iran: What Now?

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