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The Iran war ended exactly where it began.

JL;DR SUMMARY Andrew Fox analyzes the strategic failure of the U.S.-Iran conflict initiated under Donald Trump, with an attempted regime change in Iran that did not achieve its stated goals. A way out west there was a fella, fella I want to tell you about, fella by the name of Jeff Lebowski. At least, that was the handle his lovin' parents gave him, but he never had much use for it himself. This Lebowski, he called himself the Dude. Now, Dude, that's a name no one would self-apply where I come from. But then, there was a lot about the Dude that didn't make a whole lot of sense to me. And a lot about where he lived, likewise. But then again, maybe that's why I found the place s'durned innarestin'.

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Tags

Trump AdministrationIranMilitary StrategyConflict ResolutionGeopoliticsMiddle East PoliticsRegime ChangeU.S. Iran RelationsStrait Of Hormuz

Places mentioned

Switzerland
"However, the outline is clear enough to grasp the political meaning. Washington appears to have bought time; Hormuz is to reopen; the naval blockade is to be lifted; Iran receives some combination of oil waivers, asset releases, sanctions relief, or economic breathing space; the nuclear file moves into a 60-day negotiating window; Trump gets a ceasefire and lower oil prices; and Tehran gets survival, liquidity, and time. That is the endpoint of the debacle, at least for now."
Iran
"Rather than negotiating from a position of helplessness, Tehran appears to be hardening its most valuable strategic asset ahead of any peace settlement."

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Cairo Item ID 84930
Cairo Source ID 36
Retrieved 2026-06-16 05:31:00 UTC
Curated 2026-06-16 08:31:45 UTC